Does the development of fintech promote debt risk? Evidence from East Java province
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12928/optimum.v14i1.9036Keywords:
Fintech, Debt risk, Consumption, Financial inclusionAbstract
Developments of financial technology have an impact on economic growth and people’s income. The rapid development of fintech has the impact of increasing financial inclusion or debt risk. This study aims to determine the impact of fintech on consumption behaviour and debt risks in East Java. The research data is from January 2019 - December 2020 with fintech variables, online loans, consumption levels, and debt risk. The research methods used are SVAR and OLS to provide an explanation of the impact of fintech on consumption behaviour and debt risk. The results of the research, fintech in the short-run restriction does not directly affect consumption levels, but in the long-run restriction, it directly affects consumption. Fintech will affect consumption through online lending. On the other hand, fintech has a significant effect on loan risk. The policy mix between related institutions can increase the positive role of fintech and mitigate loan risk.
References
Aziz, N. (2019). Fintech contribution to Indonesia’s economic growth. Munich Personal RePEc Archive, 97884.
Banna, H., & Alam, M. R. (2021). Impact of digital financial inclusion on ASEAN banking stability: Implications for the post-COVID-19 era. Studies in Economics and Finance, 38(2), 504–523. doi: 10.1108/SEF-09-2020-0388
Banu, I. M. (2013). The impact of credit on economic growth in the global crisis context. Procedia Economics and Finance, 6, 25–30. doi: 10.1016/S2212-5671(13)00109-3
Carroll, C. D., & Kimball, M. S. (2001). Liquidity constraints and precautionary saving (No. 8496). doi: 10.3386/w8496
Dana, B. S. (2018). Evaluation of macro-prudential policy on credit growth in Indonesia: Credit registry data approach. Etikonomi, 17(2), 199–212. doi: 10.15408/etk.v17i2.7324
Deahandira, G. K., & Primantari, A. A. A. (2022). Upaya penyelesaian kredit macet tanpa agunan dalam peer to peer lending. Kertha Desa, 10(7), 607–616.
Gabor, D., & Brooks, S. (2017). The digital revolution in financial inclusion: International development in the fintech era. New Political Economy, 22(4), 423–436. doi: 10.1080/13563467.2017.1259298
Gomber, P., Koch, J.-A., & Siering, M. (2017). Digital finance and FinTech: Current research and future research directions. Journal of Business Economics, 87(5), 537–580. doi: 10.1007/s11573-017-0852-x
Gross, T., Notowidigdo, M. J., & Wang, J. (2020). The marginal propensity to consume over the business cycle. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 12(2), 351–384. doi: 10.1257/mac.20160287
Hodula, M. (2022). Does fintech credit substitute for traditional credit ? Evidence from 78 countries. Finance Research Letters, 46, 102469. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102469
Jappelli, T., & Pagano, M. (1989). Consumption and capital market imperfections: An international comparison. American Economic Review, 79(5), 1088–1105.
Kablana, A. S. K., & Chhikara, K. S. (2013). A theoretical and quantitative analysis of financial inclusion and economic growth. Management and Labour Studies, 38(1–2), 103–133. doi: 10.1177/0258042X13498009
Leong, C., Tan, B., Xiao, X., Ter, F., Tan, C., & Sun, Y. (2017). Nurturing a FinTech ecosystem: The case of a youth microloan startup in China. International Journal of Information Management, 37(2), 92–97. doi: 10.1016/j.ijinfomgt.2016.11.006
Levchenko, A. A. (2005). Financial liberalization and consumption volatility in developing countries. IMF Working Paper, 52(2), 237–259. doi: 10.2307/30035897
Li, J., Wu, Y., & Xiao, J. J. (2020). The impact of digital finance on household consumption: Evidence from China. Economic Modelling, 86(3). doi: 10.1016/j.econmod.2019.09.027
Li, Z., Li, W., Wen, Q., Chen, J., Yin, W., & Liang, K. (2019). An efficient blind filter: Location privacy protection and the access control in FinTech. Future Generation Computer Systems, 100, 797–810. doi: 10.1016/j.future.2019.04.026
Liu, L., & Zhang, H. (2021). Financial literacy, self-efficacy and risky credit behavior among college students: Evidence from online consumer credit. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 32, 100569. doi: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100569
Lu, Z., Wu, J., Li, H., Duc, & Nguyen, K. (2021). Local bank, digital financial inclusion and SME financing constraints: Empirical evidence from China local bank, digital financial inclusion and SME financing constraints: Empirical evidence from China. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 58(1), 1712–1725. doi: 10.1080/1540496X.2021.1923477
Ludvigson, S. (1999). Consumption and credit: A model of time-varying liquidity constraints. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 81(3), 434–447. doi: 10.1162/003465399558364
Miranti, R. C., Lubis, D. A., & Anam, Y. C. (2023). Have digitalization and credit access accelerated growth performance in East Java? A spatial econometric and google trend analysis. East Java Economic Journal, 7(1), 32–51. doi: 10.53572/ejavec.v7i1.99
Murphy, J. (2016). Peer-to-peer lending: Structure, risk and regulation. JASSA: The Finsia Journal of Applied Finance, 3, 37–44.
Ozili, P. K. (2020). Contesting digital finance for the poor. Digital Policy, Regulation and Governance, 22(2), 135–151. doi: 10.1108/DPRG-12-2019-0104
Panos, G. A., & Wilson, J. O. S. (2020). Financial literacy and responsible finance in the FinTech era: Capabilities and challenges. The European Journal of Finance, 26(4), 297–301. doi: 10.1080/1351847X.2020.1717569
Philippon, T. (2017). The FinTech opportunity (No. 655; Monetary and Economic Department). doi: 10.3386/w22476
Pokorná, M., & Sponer, M. (2016). Social lending and its risks. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 220, 330–337. doi: 10.1016/j.sbspro.2016.05.506
Putra, R. A., & Kurniawan, M. L. A. (2021). Money demand analysis in Indonesia: The SVAR approach. Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan), 6(1), 84–94. doi: 10.31002/rep.v6i1.3677
Sarma, M., & Pais, J. (2011). Financial inclusion and development. Journal of International Development, 23(5), 613–628. doi: 10.1002/jid.1698
Schmitt, M., & Weber, M. (2017). The FinTech Market in Germany. Pearson.
Sheng, T. (2021). The effect of fintech on banks’ credit provision to SMEs: Evidence from China. Finance Research Letters, 39, 101558. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101558
Simorangkir, C., Agape, M., Prasetya, W., & Purwadi, Y. K. (2021). The role of fintech as East Java’s economic growth drivers: An emperical analysis of the Sollow economic growth model. East Java Economic Journal, 5(2), 150–169. doi: 10.53572/ejavec.v5i2.66
Sims, A. (1980). Comparison of interwar and postwar business cycles: Monetarism reconsidered. The American Economic Review, 70(2). doi: 10.3386/w0430
Sitanggang, H. (2015). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi konsumsi di provinsi Sumatera Utara. TABULARASA, 11(2). doi: 10.24114/jt.v11i2.3264
Song, N., & Appiah-otoo, I. (2022). The impact of fintech on economic growth: Evidence from China. Sustainability, 14. doi: 10.3390/su14106211
Suryono, R. R., Budi, I., & Purwandari, B. (2021). Detection of fintech P2P lending issues in Indonesia. Heliyon, 7(4). doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e06782
Suryono, R. R., Purwandari, B., & Budi, I. (2019). A peer-to-peer (P2P) lending problems and potential solutions : A systematic literature review. Procedia Computer Science, 161, 204–214. doi: 10.1016/j.procs.2019.11.116
Xu, J. (2017). China’s internet finance: A critical review. China & World Economy, 25(4), 78–92. doi: 10.1111/cwe.12207
Yang, B., Ma, F., Deng, W., & Pi, Y. (2022). Digital inclusive finance and rural household subsistence consumption in China. Economic Analysis and Policy, 76, 627–642. doi: 10.1016/j.eap.2022.09.007
Yang, J., Wu, Y., & Huang, B. (2020). Digital finance and financial literacy: An emperical investigation of Chinese households. In Asian Development Bank Institute. doi: 10.2139/ssrn.3806419
Yang, T., & Zhang, X. (2022). FinTech adoption and financial inclusion: Evidence from household consumption in China. Journal of Banking & Finance, 145, 106668. doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106668
Yue, P., Gizem, A., Yin, Z., & Zhou, H. (2022). The rise of digital finance: Financial inclusion or debt trap? Finance Research Letters, 47, 102604. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102604
Zhong, W., & Jiang, T. (2021). Can internet finance alleviate the exclusiveness of traditional finance? evidence from Chinese P2P lending markets. Finance Research Letters, 40, 101731. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101731
Zhou, X., Sun, Y., & Tao, Y. (2023). Does digital finance upgrade trickle-down consumption effect in China? Economic Modelling, 118, 106103. doi: 10.1016/j.econmod.2022.106103
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Angga Restu Wardhana, Diyan Indriyani
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.