Determinants of circular migration patterns to Badung regency
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12928/optimum.v14i2.10337Keywords:
Binary logistic regression, Circular migration, Squared ageAbstract
The influence of migration causes the growth of the population in a region. Migration occurs due to imbalances in development, especially in the economic sector. Whereby people migrate to obtain employment due to high wages and job opportunities in the destination area. This research analyzes the factors influencing the population's decision to engage in circular migration to Badung Regency. The analytical tool used is logistic regression analysis, specifically Binary Logistic Regression. The sample consists of 123 respondents. The research results indicate that variables such as wage levels, number of family dependents, gender, activities in the area of origin, distance, age, and squared age collectively and significantly influence the decision of the population to engage in circular migration to Badung Regency. Partially, the research results show that the number of family dependents, gender, activities in the area of origin, and age significantly positively affect the decision of the population to engage in circular migration to Badung Regency. Meanwhile, wage levels, distance, and squared age significantly negatively affect the population's decision to engage in circular migration to Badung Regency.
References
Amnar, S., Muhammad, S., & Syechalad, M. N. (2017). Pengaruh pariwisata terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kota Sabang. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia, 4(1), 13-22.
Anggraini, H. R., & Fafurida. (2018). Pengaruh kondisi individu terhadap keputusan migrasi sirkuler ke Kota Semarang. Economics Development Analysis Journal, 5(4), 386-394. https://doi.org/10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22176
Anuar, A., Hussain, N. H. M., Mohd, T., Masrom, S., & Byrd, H. (2021). Reserve migration determinant factor: A systematic literature review. Environment-Behaviour Proceedings Journal, 6(16), 309-315.
https://doi.org/10.21834/ebpj.v6i16.2731
Anwar, F., Fauziyah, E., & Widodo, S. (2016). Faktor penentu keputusan migrasi ke Papua pada masyarakat desa Jaddih. Jurnal Pamator, 9(1), 8-14.
Gebre, G. G. (2020). Determinant of factors that affect the rural-urban migration on rural communities of Bonga Town: Cross sectional data. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 11(9), 10-16.
Ghozali, I. (2014). Partial Least Squares konsep, metode dan aplikasi menggunakan program WARPPLS 4.0 (2nd ed.). Badan Penerbit Universitas Diponegoro.
Gnip, A. G. (2023). The determinants of regional migration in Croatia. Zbornik Radova Ekonomskog Fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, 41(2), 427-448. https://doi.org/10.18045/zbefri.2023.2.427
Gujarati, D. N. (2004). Basic Econometrics 4th Edition (4th Editio). McGraw-Hill.
Hardani, Andriani, H., Ustiawaty, J., Utami, E. F., Istiqomah, R. R., Fardani, R. A., Sukmana, D. J., & Auliya, N. H. (2020). Metode Penelitian Kualitatif & Kuantitatif. CV. Pustaka Ilmu Group.
Hidayah, U., Putri, E. P., Permana, M., & Pamungkas, G. B. (2024). Performance evaluation of tourism infrastructure in Ciwaluh, Wates Jaya, Cigombong. Optimum: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 14(1), 62-73. https://doi.org/10.12928/optimum.v14i1.8983
Hussain, K., Hassan, M., Khan, J., & Ajmal, M. (2024). A study of socio-economic determinants of internal migration in Pakistan. Journal of Management Info, 11(1), 74-101. https://doi.org/10.31580/jmi.v11i1.2985
Jesline, J., Romate, J., Rajkumar, E., & George, A. J. (2021). The plight of migrants during Covid-19 and the impact of circular migration in India: A systematic review. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 8(1). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-00915-6
Kanwal, H., Naveed, T. A., & Khan, M. A. (2015). Socio-economic determinants of rural-urban migration in Pakistan. Journal of Asian Development Studies, 4(3), 72-85.
Khasanah, D. U., & Kurniawan, M. L. A. (2024). Panel seemingly unrelated regression on employment in tourism sector: Evidence in Central Java province. Eko-Regional: Jurnal Pembangunan Ekonomi Wilayah, 19(1), 11-19.
Kumar, S., & Raj, A. (2024). Trend and patterns of migration from Jharkhand, India. Humanities & Social Sciences Reviews, 12(2), 8-15. https://doi.org/10.18510/hssr.2024.1222
Kwilinski, A., Lyulyov, O., Pimonenko, T., Dzwigol, H., Abazov, R., & Pudryk, D. (2022). International migration drivers: Economic, environmental, social and political effects. Sustainability, 14(11), 6413. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14116413
Mantra, I. B. (2015). Demografi Umum (2nd ed.). Pustaka Belajar.
Marhaeni, A. A. I. N., & Yuliarmi, N. N. (2018). Pertumbuhan penduduk, konversi lahan dan ketahanan pangan di Kabupaten Badung. Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan, 11(1), 61-78. https://doi.org/10.24843/JEKT.2018.v11.i01.p05
Martini, N. P. R., & Sudibia, I. K. (2013). Keputusan melakukan mobilitas penduduk dan dampaknya terhadap pendapatan migran di Kota Denpasar. E-Jurnal EP Unud, 2(2), 76-86.
Maulida, Y. (2013). Pengaruh tingkat upah terhadap migrasi masuk di Kota Pekanbaru. Jurnal Ekonomi, 21(2), 1-12.
Meilinda, R. P., & Kurniawan, M. L. A. (2024). The role of social variables on growth in South of Sumatera: A dynamic panel data analysis. Journal of Socioeconomics and Development, 7(1), 68-76. https://doi.org/10.31328/jsed.v7i1.4984
Mujiburrahmad, Hamid, A. H., & Nufus, T. (2021). Pola migrasi dan faktor-faktor yang berhubungan dengan migrasi penduduk di Kecamatan Padang Tiji. Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Dan Humaniora, 10(3), 419-429. https://doi.org/10.23887/jish-undiksha.v10i3.34757
Mustika, M. D., Remi, S. S., Fahmi, M., & Setiawan, M. (2022). Analysis of Educational migration decision in Indonesia. Journal of Educational and Social Research, 12(6), 226-235. https://doi.org/10.36941/jesr-2022-0158
Nandiswari, D. A. C., & Rustariyuni, S. D. (2016). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mendorong alasan seseorang untuk melakukan commuting (Studi kasus di Desa Pandak Gede). Piramida, 12(1), 111-119.
Pangaribuan, K. H., & Handayani, H. R. (2013). Analisis pengaruh pendapatan, pendidikan, pekerjaan daerah asal, jumlah tanggungan dan status perkawinan terhadap keputusan migrasi sirkuler ke kota Semarang (Studi kasus: Kecamatan Tembalang dan Pedurungan). Diponegoro Journal of Economics, 2(3), 1-10.
Putra, I. U., & Satrianto, A. (2019). Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi peluang tenaga kerja Sumatera Barat melakukan migrasi ulang alik. Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 1(3), 919-930. https://doi.org/10.24036/jkep.v1i3.7719
Rahmawati, F., Amanah, F., & Fallo, S. I. (2024). Studi komparasi regresi logistik biner dan K-Nearest Neighbor pada kasus prediksi curah hujan. Statistika, 24(1), 20-30. https://doi.org/10.29313/statistika.v24i1.2739
Rozi, F., Suswandi, P. E., & Anifatul, H. (2019). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi minat migrasi commuter penduduk di tiga Kecamatan Kabupaten Jember. Jurnal Ekonomi Ekuilibrium (JEK), 3(1), 10-23. https://doi.org/10.14710/jdep.1.3.35-45
Rustariyuni, S. D. (2013). Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi minat migran melakukan mobilitas non permanen ke kota Denpasar. Piramida Jurnal Kependudukan Dan Pengembangan Sumber Daya Manusia, 9(2), 95-104.
Selod, H., & Shilpi, F. (2021). Rural-urban migration in developing countries: Lessons from the literature. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 91, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-9662
Soebyakto, B. B., & Saputra, W. (2015). Influencing factors of migrant and non-migrant male worker income in informal sectors: Empirical study in Kuto Batu village Ilir Timur district Palembang city. International Journal of Contemporary Applied Sciences, 2(7), 57-74.
Strobl, E., & Walsh, F. (2016). Monopsony, minimum wages and migration. Labour Economics, 42, 221-237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2016.09.004
Sundari, N. P. F., Karismawan, P., & Salmah, E. (2020). Fenomena migrasi sirkuler di Kota Mataram. Ganec Swara, 14(1), 557-565. https://doi.org/10.35327/gara.v14i1.134
Todaro, M. P., & Smith, S. C. (2015). Economic Development (12th ed.). PEARSON.
Trendyari, A. A. T., & Yasa, I. N. M. (2014). Analisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi migrasi masuk ke kota Denpasar. E-Jurnal EP Unud, 3(10), 476-484.
Wang, W., Gan, C., Le Trang Anh, D., & Nguyen, Q. T. T. (2024). The decision to buy genetically modified foods in China: what makes the difference? Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26(6), 15213-15235. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-03246-5
Zhao, L. (2021). Tourism, institutions and poverty alleviation: Empirical evidence from China. Journal of Travel Research, 60(7), 1543-1565. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287520947792
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 I Kadek Rio Dwi Pebrian, Made Dwi Setyadhi Mustika
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
